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FIRE planner

FIRE stands for “financial independence, retire early”. You reach it when your savings are big enough that you could live off them for good. The FIRE planner uses your accounts, portfolios and transactions to estimate how far along you are and when you could get there.

Open Analytics in the sidebar, then FIRE under Investments.

The planner is part of the Plus plan, and the 40-day trial every new account starts with includes it. On Essential or the Early Adopter plan, opening the planner for the first time starts a free 14-day trial of it. There’s nothing to click. A banner shows the days left, for example “FIRE planner trial · 9 days left”, with a See plans link. The trial runs once per account. When it ends, the page is locked and says “Your 14-day FIRE planner trial has ended. Upgrade to Plus to keep planning your path to FIRE.” Read-only accounts can’t start the trial. See Plans and billing.

Your FIRE number is the amount you’d need to live off your savings:

FIRE number = yearly spending ÷ withdrawal rate

With $40,000 of yearly spending and a 4% withdrawal rate, that’s $40,000 ÷ 0.04 = $1,000,000. The planner then projects your net worth month by month, growing with your expected return and your monthly contribution, and finds the month it reaches that number.

The top of the FIRE planner: Time to FIRE of 19 years 4 months (January 2046, at age 54), the range line, the Spending, Saving and Counting rows, the Progress to FIRE bar at 14.7%, and the Lean, Regular, Fat, Barista and Coast FIRE cards.The top of the FIRE planner: Time to FIRE of 19 years 4 months (January 2046, at age 54), the range line, the Spending, Saving and Counting rows, the Progress to FIRE bar at 14.7%, and the Lean, Regular, Fat, Barista and Coast FIRE cards.
  • Time to FIRE: how long until you reach your target, the month, and your age then if you’ve entered your birth year.
  • The range line below it, for example “Oct 2042 to Apr 2051 if returns run 2 points higher or lower”, shows how much the date moves if your return is 2 percentage points better or worse each year.
  • Spending, Saving and Counting: the numbers the plan is built on. Auto means the figure comes from your transactions. Click an amount to jump to its field in Assumptions. The round icons next to Counting show what counts toward your net worth. Click the ventures, vehicles or loans icon to switch it on or off. Cash and portfolios are always counted.
  • Progress to FIRE: your net worth as a share of your target, with ticks at 25%, 50% and 75%. Below the bar you’ll see your next milestone and Supports … /mo today, the monthly income your savings could pay you now at your withdrawal rate.
  • The five FIRE types, each with its target and how long it would take. See The five FIRE types.

Under the chart, the page reminds you that the projections use historical market averages and your recent spending, and are estimates, not advice.

Yearly spending in retirement starts on Auto: your average monthly expenses × 12. MoneyMatter uses up to your last 12 full months, starting from the first month with any income or expenses. The current month isn’t used until it’s over. Hover Auto to see how many months were used and your typical month.

The figure:

  • counts only accounts you own, not accounts shared with you
  • leaves out transfers, planned transactions and your savings categories
  • includes loan and mortgage payments

Auto needs at least 3 full months of transactions. Until then, enter your yearly spending by hand.

To use a different figure, type it in. The Auto badge disappears, and Back to Auto (with the automatic amount) switches back. Use Not counted as spending to leave out categories you won’t pay for once you’ve retired, such as childcare or commuting.

Monthly contribution is how much you add to your savings each month. On Auto, it’s your average net flow (income minus expenses) over the same months as your spending. Below it, “You save … of your income” shows your savings rate.

Type your own amount if the automatic one is off. Two common reasons:

  • Money you pay straight into a portfolio isn’t part of your cash flow, so it isn’t counted. Add it here.
  • Dividends paid into a bank account count twice: once as income and again in your portfolio’s return.

If you spent more than you earned, the automatic contribution is 0 and the plan assumes no new savings. A message says so, with Enter a contribution to type your own.

What counts toward FIRE lists each part of your net worth with its current amount:

  • Cash & bank accounts and Investment portfolios always count.
  • Ventures, Vehicles and Loans are off by default. Switch them on to count them. Loans are off because your loan payments already count as spending. Counting a loan subtracts what you owe.

The same switches are the round icons next to Counting at the top of the page. Credit card and overdraft debts are always subtracted from Cash & bank accounts.

If an archived account that’s excluded from statistics still holds money, a note tells you how much, with a Review link to your accounts.

The Assumptions panel with Yearly spending in retirement and Monthly contribution on Auto, the What counts toward FIRE switches, Annual return set to Total World Stock with inflation built in at 3%, Withdrawal rate at 4.0%, and the collapsed More section.The Assumptions panel with Yearly spending in retirement and Monthly contribution on Auto, the What counts toward FIRE switches, Annual return set to Total World Stock with inflation built in at 3%, Withdrawal rate at 4.0%, and the collapsed More section.

Click to see the whole screenshot.

On a wide screen, Assumptions is on the right. On a narrower one, click Adjust assumptions below the plan to open it. Click a section’s title to fold it away.

Annual return (%) is how fast you expect your savings to grow. Pick one of three kinds:

  • A market preset, such as S&P 500, NASDAQ Composite, Dow Jones or Total World Stock (the default). Each option shows the real and nominal return, for example “≈4.9% real (8% nominal, 3% US inflation)”. Presets are US and global returns, so they come with US inflation of 3% built in, and you can’t change it.
  • One of your portfolios, using its own yearly return so far. If that’s based on less than 3 years, a warning says short or bull-market history rarely repeats. If the portfolio is deleted or has too little history, the plan switches back to the world stocks preset and tells you.
  • A custom return, from -10% to 30%.

With a portfolio or a custom return, Inflation becomes a slider from 0% to 10%, so you can use your own country’s rate.

Withdrawal rate is the share of your savings you’d take out each year once retired. Pick 3.0%, 3.5%, 4.0% (the default) or 4.5%, or Custom for anything from 1% to 10%. A higher rate means a smaller FIRE number, but a bigger risk of running out. The well-known 4% rule comes from US data for 30-year retirements.

More holds the settings for the other FIRE types:

FieldDefaultAllowed
Lean FIRE multiplier0.70.3 to 1
Fat FIRE multiplier1.51 to 5
Part-time income per monthEmpty0 or more
Birth yearEmpty1900 to 2100
Coast FIRE target age6530 to 100

A value outside the allowed range is corrected when you leave the field. Clearing the Lean, Fat, coast age or Withdrawal rate field puts back the default.

Your assumptions save automatically a moment after you change them. They’re stored in your MoneyMatter account, so the plan is the same on every device and in the dashboard widget. If a save fails, a message with Retry stays on screen until your changes are saved.

If you change your base currency, the amounts you typed in (spending, contribution and part-time income) are converted to the new currency. Percentages, multipliers and ages stay as they are.

TypeTargetNeeds
Lean FIREYour FIRE number × the Lean multiplier (70% by default): a leaner retirementNothing extra
Regular FIREYour FIRE number, for your current lifestyleNothing extra
Fat FIREYour FIRE number × the Fat multiplier (150% by default): a more generous retirementNothing extra
Barista FIREWhat you’d need if part-time work paid for some of your spending: (yearly spending − 12 × part-time income) ÷ withdrawal ratePart-time income per month
Coast FIREWhat you need today so that growth alone, with no more saving, reaches your target by your coast ageBirth year

Click Lean FIRE, Regular FIRE or Fat FIRE to make it your target. The whole page (time to FIRE, progress, chart and milestones) follows the type you pick, and the dashboard widget does too. Barista and Coast FIRE are shown for comparison and can’t be the target. When one of them needs more information, its card has a link such as Add part-time income or Add birth year that takes you to the field.

Each card shows how long until you reach it, or Reached. A Coast FIRE you’ve reached says “Reached · saving is optional now”. Once you reach your target, the next bigger type is marked · next.

On a narrow screen, you see only your selected type. The others are under Others.

The FIRE chart: a solid net worth line up to Today, a dashed projection with a shaded range rising to the green FIRE $1.5M line in January 2046, markers at 25%, 50% and 75%, and the milestone list below.The FIRE chart: a solid net worth line up to Today, a dashed projection with a shaded range rising to the green FIRE $1.5M line in January 2046, markers at 25%, 50% and 75%, and the milestone list below.

The chart shows:

  • your net worth so far, as a solid line up to Today
  • the projection, as a dashed line
  • the shaded range, where you’d be if returns ran 2 points higher or lower each year
  • your target as a dashed green line, with markers for 25%, 50%, 75% and your target date

Hover the chart to see the Actual or Projected value for a month and the range. Past values are converted to today’s money using the plan’s inflation rate (3% with a market preset), so they line up with the projection.

Below the chart, the milestones list 25%, 50%, 75% and your target, each with how long until you reach it and the month, or Reached.

  • Not enough data. Without accounts or history, the page asks for your yearly spending first (Enter spending), with Add an account next to it. With fewer than 3 full months of transactions, it says, for example, “Only 2 full months of transactions” and asks you to enter spending by hand. If your recent months have no expenses, you’ll see “No spending recorded yet”.
  • Already there. When your net worth covers your target, the page says “You’re financially independent”, with the monthly income your savings support, what share of your spending that is, and how many years of spending you have covered.
  • Out of reach. If the projection doesn’t reach your target within 50 years, you’ll see “Not reachable at current savings” with the reasons: no new savings, a return that doesn’t beat inflation, or a pace that’s too slow. What it would take shows the monthly contribution you’d need to get there in 20 years.
  • Net worth below zero. Your contributions pay down the gap first, then grow. A note on the progress bar explains this.
  • A return that doesn’t beat inflation. A warning says your balance shrinks in today’s money, and Coast FIRE can’t be worked out.
  • Estimated values. If some holdings are valued at cost or an exchange rate is missing, a note says your balance may be understated. Click ✕ to hide it for now, or tick Don’t show again.

To keep an eye on your progress, add the FIRE progress widget to your dashboard. Click Add to dashboard at the top of the planner, or add it under Customize on the dashboard. It shows your progress, time to FIRE, next milestone and FIRE number. See FIRE progress for its sizes and styles.